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      <p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:.9375em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"><em>Last week you should have received Revel’s first cultural-radar email “<a href="http://www.revel.company/campaigns/view-campaign/WOYhAq9_apBEheRakgtOdF4N0ghJvUxKlGeKAJBYn2qJIUf8e1trPlfNdEBa7PQtV9nW5brE6LvsaTWGqJRY-9G-S71odjXz" target="" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" style="color:#0e8ac4 !important;"><strong>The Trendy Elitist.”</strong></a> TTE will be come every month, and we’ll use it to share what we are reading, watching and eating, new places we’re going, and what new retail and food trends we’re seeing. We hope you like it.</em></p>
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<table role="presentation" width="100%" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" border="0" bgcolor="transparent" class="text-section section-content" style="min-width:100%;width:100%;">
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      <p style="color:inherit;font-size:.9375em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;margin-top:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;" class="">A few months ago, celebrity chef David Chang opened an outpost of his quick service chicken chain Fuku in Atlanta. This was met with the typical glowing press. But there were no reports from the grand opening, no pictures of the restaurant.  Because Fuku isn’t one in the traditional sense. It doesn’t even have a website. It’s a <strong>virtual brand</strong>.&nbsp;</p><p style="color:inherit;font-size:.9375em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;margin-top:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;" class="">&nbsp;</p><p style="color:inherit;font-size:.9375em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;margin-top:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;" class="">In the second of what I said would be two notes— but at this rate may be a hundred and two— we’ll dig a into the challenges small independent restaurants face in the coming decade. This note is going to deal with technology (and the VC money behind it). Before we get too much further let’s define a couple of terms that will be important.&nbsp;</p><p style="color:inherit;font-size:.9375em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;height:1.618em;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;margin-top:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;" class=""></p><p style="color:inherit;font-size:.9375em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;margin-top:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;" class="">[This bit won’t be too snarky. Apologies.]</p><p style="color:inherit;font-size:.9375em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;height:1.618em;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;margin-top:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;" class=""></p><p style="color:inherit;font-size:.9375em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;margin-top:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;" class="">The first term to know is&nbsp;<strong>delivery app</strong>. Certainly everyone on this email knows of or uses delivery apps like Uber Eats, DoorDash or Grubhub: these are the Ubers of F+B that connect customers with restaurants and deliver food between the two for a fee.</p><p style="color:inherit;font-size:.9375em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;height:1.618em;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;margin-top:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;" class=""></p><p style="color:inherit;font-size:.9375em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;margin-top:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;" class="">The second term to know is&nbsp;<a href="https://www.qsrmagazine.com/content/americas-57-most-exciting-virtual-brands" target="" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" style="color:#0e8ac4 !important;"><strong>virtual brand</strong></a>. A virtual restaurant brand does not have a “front door” or a dining room. You can only order a virtual brand’s food online or via&nbsp;<em>delivery app</em>, and usually only for delivery. </p><p style="color:inherit;font-size:.9375em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;height:1.618em;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;margin-top:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;" class=""></p><p style="color:inherit;font-size:.9375em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;margin-top:0in;margin-bottom:0.0001pt;" class="">Lastly,&nbsp;<em>virtual brands </em>often (but not always) prepare food in&nbsp;<a href="https://www.eater.com/21540765/ghost-kitchens-virtual-restaurants-covid-19-industry-impact" target="" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" style="color:#0e8ac4 !important;"><strong>ghost kitchens</strong></a>, or dark kitchens. This is a broad term that simply means any commercial kitchen of any size, where the final product is consumed offsite. Large VC-funded operations like REEF and Cloud Kitchens have gotten into the game in a big way. They buy or rent commercial real estate, build out&nbsp;dozens of tiny commercial kitchens, then lease / sublease those tiny kitchens to restaurant brands both virtual and real. A food court without patrons.</p>
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              <div class="section-caption-text" style="position:relative;"><p class="" style="font-size:.9375em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;color:#4f4d4d;"><em>A ghost kitchen. Zing!</em></p></div>
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      <p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:.9375em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">The evil villains in this story (you have to have one) are&nbsp;the delivery apps.&nbsp;&nbsp;Delivery apps  revenue is generated mostly from fees they charge to restaurants and customers. Customer charges are well and fine: pricing transparency is good! Those restaurant fees bring most of the negative press and burgeoning <a href="https://www.newyorker.com/culture/q-and-a/the-fight-to-rein-in-delivery-apps" target="" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" style="color:#0e8ac4 !important;">municipal regulations</a>. Understandably so. When apps charge 15% to 30% to dine-in restaurants built on 10% to 20% margins, you can see how this might be a problem. Back in the day when delivery wasn’t much of a thing, dine-in restaurants could chalk up the fees to <a href="http://www.revel.company/campaigns/view-campaign/NGqknBY85vOgHH-GZZAwTR1UyhCCZykwWzlKW3EPb8DgMMUXG74AO3apj_E9JQW75ohFE-Akga3VHsMz8IfUG0n3nkt4o5rB" target="" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" style="color:#0e8ac4 !important;">customer acquisition costs</a>. Since the pandemic <a href="https://trends.edison.tech/research/global-food-delivery-2021.html" target="" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" style="color:#0e8ac4 !important;">almost tripled</a> US restaurant delivery orders, it has become a financial drain.</p>
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      <p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:.9375em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">Those 30% fees are bad not because they are huge but because they <span style="font-size:inherit;font-weight:inherit;line-height:inherit;margin:0;text-decoration:underline;">aren't</span> transparent. Transparency rules!  How can you expect the customer to know the true cost if it isn’t transparent? But focusing on those fees misses the greater harm apps are posed to do to small restaurants.. One of those being the virtual “slotting fee” that apps charge. When you search delivery apps for burgers (for anything), the burger brands at the top of the list aren’t those with the best reviews or even health department scores. They’re the ones that paid the highest slotting fees. Score another point for the big nationals.</p>
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              <div class="section-caption-text" style="position:relative;"><p class="" style="font-size:.9375em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;color:#4f4d4d;"><em>This virtual restaurant will do $40M this year. Heaven help us all</em></p></div>
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      <p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:.9375em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">The bigger threat to independent restaurants might be the <strong>algorithms</strong>. Like any good VC-fueled tech company, delivery apps collect a lot of data, and use that data to create <em>algorithms</em> to predict not only what you will want to eat but what all your neighbors will want to eat. The apps don’t share that data with their restaurant “partners.” They act as more as gatekeepers than middlemen. When an Uber Eats order comes in, you the restaurateur don’t know where that food is going. </p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:.9375em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">This data is important. Theoretically the apps use this data to help all of their restaurant “partners” grow: maybe your local cafe didn’t know that <a href="http://www.revel.company/campaigns/view-campaign/IqqY5WDMIHXM7KW3aCzezaUw_WimooTqrSTsp3EW_dA-h3Kxz4FH3meEUZrXNxDbLiMJjZsRu1loTO3CRx4JaWHGMn3m88mi" target="" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" style="color:#0e8ac4 !important;">microwaved eggs</a> were suddenly in demand. In reality the apps use the data to help large virtual brands grow additional large virtual brands, because that is the only growth that can happen at massive, nationwide scale. </p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:.9375em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">Somehow despite these significant fees and exponential growth, the delivery apps s<a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/doordash-and-uber-eats-are-hot-theyre-still-not-making-money-11622194203" target="" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" style="color:#0e8ac4 !important;">till lost money in 2020</a>.  But the flow of VC money hasn’t stopped. Small restaurants can’t survive these giant fees, and the business won’t be a business if the customer paid it all (the cost for delivery would <a href="https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/technology-media-and-telecommunications/our-insights/ordering-in-the-rapid-evolution-of-food-delivery" target="" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" style="color:#0e8ac4 !important;">double</a> the menu price!) The only solution left to the apps will be <strong>full vertical integration</strong>. They are already beginning to operate some ghost kitchen facilities. This will continue. The next step? <strong>Doing away with the actual restaurants; cooking and preparing the food themselves.</strong></p>
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      <p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:.9375em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">Maybe that’s a good thing. Maybe this leaves Mr Beast and <a href="https://mariahcareyscookies.com" target="" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" style="color:#0e8ac4 !important;">Mariah Carey</a> for eating at home, and your delightful neighborhood bistro— who one day just stops with the delivery scam — for eating out.  But there is only so much money to be spent on prepared meals, and the apps are trying to take as much of that money as they can. Those small neighborhood jewels are in for the fight of their organic farm-to-table lives.</p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:.9375em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;">I’ve said a million times that restaurants aren’t going away, and they aren’t. Great places won’t stop attracting crowds. I also think that commercial real estate owners can be independent restaurateurs’ best hope for longterm success (we <em>are</em> in this together, after all). More on that next month. . </p>
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      <p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:.9375em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-top:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"><em><strong>New projects </strong></em>in Ohio, D.C, San Francisco, Los Angeles and Atlanta. Soon I’ll share more information on our growing restaurant management company. I am incredibly excited about how we are building it. Among other things, we’ve decided to make it <em><strong>employee-owned</strong></em>. </p><p class="" style="color:inherit;font-size:.9375em;line-height:1.618em;margin:0 0 1.25em 0;font-weight:normal;margin-bottom:0;font-family:'Lucida Bright', 'DejaVu Serif', 'Bitstream Vera Serif', 'Liberation Serif', Georgia, serif;"><em><strong>Not a sponsored post but it should be</strong></em>. If you want to meet the good guys in delivery, try <a href="https://www.goldbelly.com" target="" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" style="color:#0e8ac4 !important;">Goldbelly</a>. Goldbelly delivers regional food classics (with transparent pricing!) anywhere in the world. Want a muffuletta from Central Grocery, bread from Tartine, or hummus from Zahav? Goldbelly has you covered.</p>
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